I was thinking about the October 30 Presidential elections this year. I think that the opposition have just made history to repeat itself by way of dividing the vote and giving the MMD a sweeping victory.
In any case, the opposition factions are already fragmented and exhibiting characterisitcs of disunity among themselves.
Even the mere calls for the cancellation of the Presidential elections by some oppostion political parties such as United Liberal Party and All People's Congress Party (APC) are confirmations that Rupiah Banda may just sweep the votes.
I remember vividly how the oppostion during the 2006 tripartite elections managed to cause so much disillusion and confusion among themselves and ended up losing it all the the late Mwanawasa. They called each other names. They splashed mad on each other and did all sorts of character assasination.
I remember how some alliances were born and they crumbled so soon there after. Where is the United Democratic Alliance and the National Democratic Focus, for instance?
I have observed with glee how the opposition are bahaving especially with shifting goal posts resulting in the fragmentation we just discussed.
But it would also be foolhardy for the MMD to take these matters for granted and expect a sweeping victory.
It is hard to read the mood, especially of the Zambia voters who are sometimes easily swayed by certain stimulus such as sweet talk and even pub talk.